Good Choice!!!

Technical Analysis :
1. Dow crossed MA30, MA40, and MA60 from top to bottom!!
2. Middle line of Bollinger Band had crossed too!!
3. RSI line moved below 50%
4. CCI will reach -100
5. Three RED Soldier, that indicates BEARISH CONDITION!!
6. BUT it is not made DEAD CROSS!!, still can be BULL

Fundamental Analysis :

Exchange movements on the day is also covered by the report concerns about the losses experienced by Citigroup. Yesterday, Citigroup reported a loss of 10 billion dollars in the fourth quarter 2008. Result, the banking company's stock weakened as much as 5% to 5.22 dollars beginning of trade. U.S. stock movements throughout the trading day is estimated to be still moving volatile. Investors apparently are still awaiting the impact of interest rate decrease in European central bank (ECB), which will be held on January 15 to come.

Fed Governor, Ben Bernanke, who said that the government must work hard to recover the economy. He also rightly claim that there is synergy between the executive and legislative branches are working in conjunction to the economy. Conditions are not based on the rest of the bailout fund of 350 billion dollars by the U.S. Congress. And He said that More BAILOUT for Bank is needed. THATS INDICATE RECESSION IS NOT OVER YET WATCH OUT!!

GOOD STOCK TO BUY tommorow!!
Mining Still the Best
ANTM 1150
TINS 1170
SGRO 1260
AALI 11000
Plays Fast GAIN 3% OR MORE GET OUT!! If u wants to wait sell A HALF!!

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How to Make Money in Stocks part 1

by William J Oneil
One of The BEST METHOD TO CHOOSE STOCK!!
William create CANSLIM method, describes as :

C = Current Quarterly Earnings Per Share: How Much Is Enough?

A = Annual Earnings Increases: Look for Meaningful Growth.

N = New Products, New Management, New Highs: Buying at the Right Time.

S = Supply and Demand: Small Capitalization Plus Volume Demand.

L = Leader or Laggard: Which Is Your Stock?

I = Institutional Sponsorship: A Little Goes a Long Way.

M = Market Direction: How to Determine It?

C CURRENT QUATERLY EARNINGS PER SHARE:

Do not buy a stock that’s not show EPS (Earning Per Share) increase at least 15% from the new quarter report versus the same quarter report the year before. Check the group of stock that you want to buy, if other stock in same group not show good EPS, do not buy that stock.

Hmm I always find quarterly report in here. Enter symbol on the edit text like “antm.jk” or “tlkm.jk”. Look tabs “Stocks” on left side choose “Estimates”. Reuters show all about stock, not only financial highlights but all information about The Company. Like overview, ratio, recommendation about stock, etc. Or you can ask your broker to give Financial Highlight reports.

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Buy Bank and Mining Sector when??

This week, Buy Bank sector like BBCA, BMRI, and BDMN.
I choose the Number One Bank sector in IHSG, BBCA (Bank Central Asia Tbk). Why :
1. In the middle of condition like this this stock never fell apart!!
2. Strong Company!!
3. Already GOLDEN CROSS!!
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index) still above 50%
5. CCI (Commodity Channel Index) crossed -100, if cross up tomorrow its BUY point!!
6. Right at MA(Moving Average)30..

If Oil price drop below 40$ do not buy any mining sector just SLEEP, HA3!!

Watch carefully friends, if not cross back CCI -100 and RSI reach 50%, or back below MA30 do not buy, Because Dow Jones Industrial and Hang Seng condition below MA30!!
HAPPY TRADING
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Jan 10 News

US (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. probably lost 525,000 jobs in December, capping the biggest collapse in employment since the end of World War II, economists said before a report today. The unemployment rate likely jumped to a 15-year high of 7 percent.

The outlook for 2009 is no brighter as retailers from Wal- Mart Stores Inc. to Macy’s Inc. slash profit forecasts and manufacturers including Alcoa Inc. cut output and staff. The figures are likely to intensify pressure on U.S. lawmakers to speed President-elect Barack Obama’s proposed fiscal stimulus through Congress in an effort to save or create 3 million jobs.

Obama Plan
Obama is pressing for a stimulus plan of about $775 billion, including tax cuts and spending on everything from roads and schools to the energy network. Yesterday he called for “dramatic action as soon as possible” to help pull the world’s largest economy out of a slump that’s into its second year. “If nothing is done, this recession could linger for years,” Obama said in Fairfax, Virginia.

Federal Reserve staff last month cut their projections for gross domestic product and the job market, stating the unemployment rate was “likely to rise significantly into 2010,” according to minutes of policy makers’ December meeting.

Analysts said the economy is in danger of a reinforcing cycle of rising unemployment and declining household spending, what policy makers call a negative feedback loop, which is difficult to snap once it’s begun.

Indonesia - The government will take a decision on the decline in the price of fuel at a cabinet session held on 12 January 2009, then this is the third decline in the price of fuel in the last months. Finance Ministry Sri Mulyani said that after meeting with President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono at the Presidential Palace, Jakarta, Friday (9/1/2009). "For the government the more important is to see oil prices on Monday and decided later on this fuel price," he said.

The government will take a decision on the decline in the price of fuel in return the council cabinet on 12 January 2009. The decline in the price of Rp 500 per liter and the effective start date of 15 January 2009.

The government hopes, the decline in the price of fuel, the third time is expected to give a significant impact, not as a decrease in the previous two times. "I do not have the authority to announced it, but from its body language, the government agreed to announce a fuel price. Premium and diesel fuel down as Rp 500. The President of the council and if approved by the cabinet, the 15th reduction will be effective.

Qatar Telecom (Qtel) will hold a public tender offer shares of PT Indosat Tbk (ISAT) a maximum of 24.19%, beginning next weekend. Bid price is Rp. 7388 per share, with a total Rp 8 Billion. Qtel have signed a letter of the tender offer to the authority of the capital market yesterday. Implementation of the tender offer shares on the Stock Exchange Indosat of Indonesia (BEI) should be adjusted with the New York stock exchange, the United States. The second largest telecommunications company in Indonesia was also noted as stock (dual listing) in the New York Exchange

Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) ask the acquisition and the formation of special purpose vehicle (SPV) by PT Bumi Resources Tbk (BUMI) and PT Bakrie & Brothers Tbk (BNBR). The management of the Earth and Bakrie & Brothers has not delivered the official explanation of action related to the corporation that BEI. At 8 and 9 January 2009 BUMI stock decline 20% into 630!! It could be worst.

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Sorry I have to sell stock

Sorry for my mistakes!! at least you still profit right!!

My money Rp 8.282.190
I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares

Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM 5 lots at buy price 1140

Please READ my Analysis!!
Sell ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk)
5 lots at price 1190 = 5 x 500 x 1190 = 2.975.000– (0.007*2.975.000)= 2.954.175

My Stocks Now
NULL

My Money NOW Rp 11.236.365

Sorry my Mistakes, I have to sell my stock because some thing happened in Europe and US stock exchange, look here!! Also stock already reach CCI 200, you have to profit take. And oil slumped very fast to 42$!! Recession Began again WATCH IT!!

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WARNING SELL ALL UR STOCK

Sorry my Mistakes, I have to sell my stock because some thing happened in Europe and US stock exchange, look here!! Also stock already reach CCI 200, you have to profit take. And oil slumped very fast to 42$!! Recession Began again WATCH IT!!

Australian shares and Japanese stock futures dropped as bigger-than-estimated job cuts in the U.S. rekindled concern the global economic slump is deepening. US LABOR SLUMP TOO!! and Dow Jones Industrial down for -245.40 points (-2.72%) to 8,769.70 reach it''s MA30 and middle Bollinger band!! Because everyone fear in recession

Electronics and car manufacturers in Asia are reducing output and sacking workers as prospects for job losses prevent American consumers from spending. Intel Corp., whose chips run about 80 percent of the world’s personal computers, yesterday said fourth-quarter sales fell 23 percent, adding to evidence demand is waning across the technology industry.

Crude oil for February delivery plummeted 12 percent to $42.63 a barrel in New York, the steepest drop since September 2001. The Japanese currency appreciated to as much as 92.48 today from 93.96 at the close of stock trading in Tokyo yesterday.

OIL PRICE SLUMPED INTO 42$

Sell all ur stock i told you yesterday!!

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WORLD NEWS 070108

US news get from (Bloomberg) -- Companies in the U.S. eliminated an estimated 693,000 jobs in December, the most since records began in 2001, a private report based on payroll data showed.


The drop in the ADP Employer Services gauge was larger than the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Today’s report is the first to reflect methodological changes that ADP says will limit the differences between its calculations and the government’s payroll numbers.


15-Year High
The government may report on Jan. 9 that total payrolls fell by 500,000 last month, and the unemployment rate rose to a 15- year high of 7 percent, according to the Bloomberg survey median. The economy lost 1.9 million jobs in the first 11 months of the year.


Other labor-market reports have also shown weakness. Job cuts announced by U.S. employers rose 275 percent last month from December 2007, to 166,348, Chicago-based Challenger. Gray & Christmas Inc. said today. For all of 2008, employers announced 1.22 million job cuts, the most in five years.

Today’s ADP report showed a decrease of 220,000 jobs in goods-producing industries including manufacturers and construction companies. Service providers cut 473,000 workers. Employment in construction fell by 102,000, the 21st consecutive month of cuts in the industry.

Because of that dow fut now minus 100!!

Indonesia news made by myself. Decrease BI Rate 50 bps to 8.75% that will provide positive sentiment for the banking sector, but was wrong (bond prices rise) and IHSG (Indonesia Stock Exchange) surged 14,067 points (0,98%) to 1.421,470. BI rate decrease followed by a decrease in bank loan interest rate from the current 18% to 14-15%. Interest rates are lower can be expected economic stimulus. But lender hope loan rate will become 11- 12%. People still hope interest rate down to 7.5%. BI Rate decline to give positive sentiment against foreign investors because of the size of the gap between the BI Rate with the Fed and other banks.

BUMI it self closed with auto rejection, because of it’s a acquisition action up two subsidiaries Bakrie groups, gave negative sentiment, it will be a burden corporate balance sheet. DO NOT BUY BUMI!!

Crude Palm Oil price which continues to climb penetrate to RM1900/ton level. GOOD FOR CPO SECTOR!!

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