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Thursday, February 26, 2009

How to Make Money in Stocks Part 7

WHEN TO BE PATIENT AND HOLD A STOCK

1. After buy new stock, draw a red defensive sell line (CUT LOSS) on graph. If your stock increases 15% or more after a correct purchase, move the defensive sell line up to less than 5% below the pivot purchase price. You do not need to raise up your stop-loss, because you will forced normal correction. Once your stock is 15% above your buy point, you need think when to sell on the way up to nail down short term profit.


2.BUY THE BEST STOCK and wait until you proved it wrong or right. At least 13 weeks after first purchase. But set defensive sell price first.


3. Any stock that rises close to 20% should never be allowed to drop back into the loss column. For example, if you buy a stock at $50 and it shoots up to $60 (+20%) and you don't take the profit when you have it, there is no intelligent reason to ever let it drop all the way back to 50$ or below and create loss.


4.Pay attention to OVERALL MARKET TREND!! If you buy a stock that OVERALL MARKET is downtrend, you will be in trouble!!


5.Major advance require time to complete. Dramatic stock advancing 20% or more in only four or five weeks are the most powerful stocks of all, capable of increase of 100%, 200%, or more!


6.If you have A LEADER STOCK you may to hold it at least until its weekly close below its 10-week moving average price line on increase volume.


7. If possible, try to hold through the stock's first short-term correction once you already have a profit.


8. Holding for a long-term gain during the early stage of a new bull market, in many cases, may force you to stick to your position long enough to make a big gain. Remember, the object is not to be right, but to make big money when you are right.

Read More....

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

THE BIGGEST BEAR!!!

WORLD NEWS

Japan Stock Exchange today (24 February) decreased due slumped Nomura Holdings stock. Nomura Holdings shares weakening because of the financial reports that the company would increase stock prices, with a total of all nominal shares worth 3.3 billion dollars. The policy is the first time in the last 20 years.

U.S. exchanges last yesterday (24 February) was the lowest since records impairment last 12 years. Increasing concerns about the condition of the financial sector again increased due investors pessimistic against nationalization policies Citigroup.


THE MAINLY PRESSURE come from the technology sector after Morgan Stanley predicted a lower PC sales for 2009 and 2010, caused by a decrease in prices and weak demand. Hewlett Packard slumped to level of 6.3% to $ 29.28; Intel weakened 5.5% to $ 12.08 level, and Apple down 4.66% to $ 86.95 level.


AIG likely to go bankrupt if no more funding from the government. AIG needs additional funds to operate.





TECHNICAL ANALYSIS for DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL!!!


dow jones industrial chart

Check picture!!

I already told you before at 16 February, that DOW will slumped and it TRULLY HAPPENED. Check here!!

1.MA ( Moving Average )30 and MA40 already crossed by candlestick from top to bottom.

2.Already DEAD CROSS!!

3.Now its Moves DOWNSIDE THE BOX or under 7941 point, VERY-VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION!!

4.RSI(Relative Strength Index) reach 30%!!

5.CCI(Commodity Channel Index) now below in -150 line!!!

6.THREE RED SOLDIER, that indicate BEAR!!

JUST WAIT N SEE, keep your money!!


Read More....

Saturday, February 21, 2009

COMMODITY CHANNEL INDEX

Commodity channel index
Click picture to enlarge!!


Commodity Channel Index (CCI) created by Donald Lambert. It measures the variation of a security's price from its statistical mean. High values show that prices are unusually high compared to average prices whereas low values indicate that prices are unusually low.


The CCI typically oscillates between ±100. To use the CCI as an overbought/oversold indicator, readings above +100 imply an overbought condition (and a pending price correction) while readings below -100 imply an oversold condition (and a pending rally).


A complete explanation of the CCI calculation is beyond the scope of this book.


The following are basic steps involved in the calculation:

1.Add each period's high, low, and close and divide this sum by 3.

2.Calculate an n-period simple moving average of the typical prices computed in Step 1.

3.For each of the prior n-periods, subtract today's Step 2 value from Step 1's value n days ago. For example, if you were calculating a 5-day CCI, you would perform five subtractions using today's Step 2 value.

4.Calculate an n-period simple moving average of the absolute values of each of the results in Step 3.

5. Multiply the value in Step 4 by 0.015.

6. Subtract the value from Step 2 from the value in Step 1.

7. Divide the value in Step 6 by the value in Step 5.

Read More....

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Dangerous Position!!! HOLD CASH

antm stock chartClick Picture to enlarge!

My money Rp 6.136.615

I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares
Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk)10 Lots at price 1090

SELL ANTM (Antm Tbk) STOCK
10 Lots at price 1110=10 x 500 x 1110 = 5.550.000-(0.007 x 5.550.000)= 5.511.150

MY STOCK NOW
NULL

MY MONEY NOW RP 11.647.765


Why I SOLD ANTM

1.US BAILOUT CAN NOT MAKE BULLISH TREND!!

2.The IHSG(Indonesia Composite Index) transaction volume back to low again!!

3. Candlestick crossed MA30 line from top to bottom!!

4. RSI (Relative Strength Index) line moved below 50%.

Suggestion : Just wait n see!!!

Read More....

Monday, February 16, 2009

DANGEROUS BEARISH

FUNDAMENTAL ANALIYSIS!!!

News from Bloomberg

WORLD - Finance chiefs from the Group of Seven nations joined the chorus of U.S. investors and lawmakers pushing Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to move faster to fix the banking system.


The G-7 finance ministers and central bankers want Geithner, 47, to tackle a U.S. credit crisis that lies at the heart of the worst global recession since World War II. Bank stocks, as measured by the Standard & Poor’s 500 Financials Index, have fallen 30 percent this year and ended last week lower than before Geithner presented his rescue plan on Feb 10.


The group said it rejected protectionism even amid signs some of its members are shielding their industries to the detriment of rivals. The statement softened previous calls for China to accelerate gains in its currency by saying it welcomed the country’s steps to bolster growth. That should help “lead to a continued appreciation” of the yuan, the G-7 said.


Japan - Economic prospects are still deteriorating. Japan’s economy, the world’s second largest, shrank at an annual 12.7 percent pace in the fourth quarter, the most since the 1974 oil shock, the government said today. Companies from Microsoft Corp. to Nissan Motor Co. are cutting jobs, U.S. stocks fell last week by the most since November, and the World Bank said Feb. 13 the crisis may kill as many as 400,000 more babies every year until 2015 as poverty spreads.


Legal & General Group Plc dropped almost 6 percent on speculation the insurer is in talks with the Financial Services Authority over the amount of money it should set aside for defaults in its bond portfolio. Takefuji Corp. slid 9.5 percent after Japan’s third-biggest consumer lender forecast a full-year loss and the country’s gross domestic product contracted at an annual 12.7 percent pace. CRH Plc fell 5.2 percent in Dublin on concern the company may be considering a rights offer.


U.S. markets will be closed today for Presidents’ Day.



TECHNICAL ANALYSIS for DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL!!!

1.MA ( Moving Average )30 and MA40 already crossed by candlestick from top to bottom.

2.Already DEAD CROSS!!

3.Now its Moves DOWNSIDE THE BOX or under 7941 point, VERY-VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION!!

4.RSI(Relative Strength Index) line moves below 50%, will reach 30%!!

5.CCI(Commodity Channel Index) still below in -100 line!!!


MY SUGGESTION DO NOT BUY ANYTHING UNTIL REACH 8385 POINT!!!
TOMMOROW I WILL SELL MY ANTM STOCKS BECAUSE it already moved below MA30!!

Read More....

Friday, February 13, 2009

36 GUIDES TO SELL STOCK

1. Buying right solves half of your selling problem. If you buy exactly at the right time off a proper base structure in the first place and do not chase or pyramid a stock when it is extended in price too far past a buy point, you will be in a position to sit through most. normal corrections in the price of your stock. Winning stocks seldom drop 8% below a correct pivot-point buying price.

2. Beware of the big-block selling you see on the ticker tape just after

you have bought a stock during a bull market. Avoid getting scared or shaken out in what may just be a normal pullback.

3. If after a stock's price is extended from a proper base, its price closes for a larger increase than on any previous up days, watch out! This move usually occurs at or very close to a stock's peak.

4. The ultimate top may occur on the heaviest volume day since the beginning of the advance.

5. Sell if a stock advance gets so active that it has a rapid price run up for two or three weeks (eight to twelve days). This is called climax (blow-off) top activity.

6. Sell if a stock runs up on a stock split for one or two weeks (usually + 25% or + 30% and, in a few rare instances, + 50%). If a stock's price is extended from its base and a stock split is announced, in many instances the stock should be sold.

7. Big investors must sell when they have buyers to absorb their stock; therefore, consider selling if a stock runs up and then good news or major publicity (a cover article in Business Week, for example) is released.

8. New highs on decreased or poor volume means there is temporarily no demand for the stock at that level and selling may soon overcome the stock.

9. After an advance, heavy volume without further upside price progress signals distribution.

10. Tops will show arrows pointing down on a stock's daily chart (closing at lows of the daily price range on several days—in other words, full retracement of a day's advance).

11. When it's exciting and obvious to everyone that a stock is going higher, sell, because it is too late! Jack Dreyfus said, "Sell when there is an overabundance of optimism. When everyone is bubbling optimism and running around trying to get everyone else to buy, they are fully invested. At this point, all they can do is talk. They can't push the market up anymore. It takes buying power to do that." Buy when you are scared to death and others are unsure. Wait until you are happy and tickled to death to sell.

12. If a stock that has been advancing rapidly is extended from its base and opens on a gap up in price, the advance is probably near its peak. A two-point gap in a stock's price would occur if it closed at its high of $50 for the day and the next morning opened at $52 and held above $52 during the day.

13. Sell if a stock's price breaks badly for several days and does not rally.

14. Consider selling if a stock takes off for a good advance over several weeks and then retraces all of that advance.

15. When quarterly earnings increases slow materially or earnings actually decline for two consecutive quarters, in most cases sell.

16. Consider selling if there is no confirming price strength by another important member of the same group.

17. Be careful of selling on bad news or rumors; they are usually of temporary influence. Rumors are sometimes started to catch the little fish off balance.

18. Try to avoid selling on shakeouts (below major price-support areas).

19. If you didn't sell early while the stock was still advancing, sell on the way down from the peak. After the first break, some stocks may once pull back up in price.

20. After a stock declines 8% or so from its peak, in some cases examination of the previous run up, the top, and the decline may help determine if the advance may be over or if a normal 8% to 12% correction is in progress. You may occasionally want to sell if a decline from peak exceeds 12% or 15%.

21. If a stock already has made an extended advance and suddenly makes its greatest one-day price drop since the beginning of the move, consider selling, but only if confirmed by other signals.

22. When you see initial heavy selling near the top, the next recovery will either follow through weaker in volume, show poor price recovery, or last a shorter number of days. Sell on the second or third day of poor rally; it will be the last good chance to sell before trend lines and support areas are broken.

23. Sell if a stock closes the end of the week below a major long-term uptrend line or breaks a key price-support area on overwhelming volume.

24. The number of down days in price versus up days in price will change after a stock starts down.

25. Wait for a second confirmation of major changes in the general market, and don't buy back stocks you sold just because they can be bought cheaper.

26. Learn from your past selling mistakes. Do your own post-analysis by plotting on charts your past buy-and-sell points.

27. Sell quickly before it becomes completely clear that a stock should be sold. Selling after a stock has broken an obvious support level could be a poor decision because the stock could pull back after touching off stop orders and attracting short sellers.

28. Always project the week you can expect capital-gains selling by those who bought in volume at the original breakout point from a base. (This applies only if current tax laws favor capital gains.)

29. In a few cases, you should sell if a stock hits its upper channel line. (Channel lines are drawn to connect the lows and connect the highs on a stock's price chart.) Stocks surging above their upper channel lines should normally be sold.

30. Sell when your stock makes a new high in price if it's off a third- or fourth-stage base. The third chance is seldom a charm in the market. It has become too obvious and almost everyone sees it.

31. Sell on new price highs off a wide-and-loose, erratic chart price formation.

32. Sell on new highs if a stock has a weak base with much of the price work in the lower half of the base or below its 200-day moving average price line.

33. In some cases, sell if a stock breaks down on the largest weekly volume in its prior five years.

34. Some stocks can be sold when they are 70% to 100% above their 200-day moving average price line.

35. After a prolonged upswing, if a stock's 200-day moving average line of its price turns into a downtrend, consider selling the stock.

36. Poor relative price strength can be a reason for selling. Consider selling when a stock's relative strength on a scale from 1 to 99 drops below 70.

Read More....

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Meningkatkan Backlink

Silahkan pelajari dengan baik lalu anda terapkan dengan benar….

Ada kata bijak yang mengatakan “Honesty is The Best Policy (Kejujuran adalah politik/strategi terbaik)”, mari kita buktikan….apakah konsep kejujuran disini dapat kita gunakan untuk menghasilkan traffic dan popularity yang sangat hebat dari sebuah metode rumit para expert webmaster atau pakar SEO..?…

Saya percaya kita bisa asal metode ini anda terapkan dengan benar…,apabila ini di aplikasikan pada web/blog anda sesuai ketentuan maka:

~ Blog anda akan kebanjiran traffic pengunjung secara luar biasa hari demi hari, tanpa anda harus repot-repot memikirkan SEO atau capek-capek melakukan promosi keberbagai tempat di dunia online.

~ Blog anda juga akan kebanjiran backlink secara signifikan hari demi hari, tanpa perlu repot-repot berburu link keberbagai tempat di dunia internet.

Hal yang harus anda lakukan adalah ikuti langkah-langkah berikut :

1. Buatlah postingan artikel seperti posting saya ini, atau copy-paste artikel ini. Lalu beri Judul sesuka anda (karena itu merupakan SEO buat web/blog anda sendiri).

2. Anda cukup hanya meletakkan Link-Link di bawah ini pada artikel anda tersebut pada blog/web anda.

1. Detik.com
2. Okezone.com
3. Facebook.com
4. Friendster.com
5. Google.com
6. Bisnis Online
7. Panduan belajar Wordpress
8. Softare Asli
9. Lirik Music Indo
10. Lirik Music Luar
11. Free Template
12. Jogja-Blogger
13. Tutorial Blogging | Internet Bisnis Online
14. S-wswine
15. Panduan Bermain Saham

PERATURAN :

1. Sebelum anda meletakkan Link-Link tersebut ditas ke dalam postingan web/blog anda, harap hapus Link nomor 1 , Sehingga link no 1 hilang dari daftar link dan setiap link anda naikkan 1 level ke atas. Yang tadinya no 2 naik menjadi no 1, yang tadinya no 3 menjadi no 2, yang tadinya no 4 menjadi no 3 dan begitu seterusnya. Setelah itu masukkan Link anda pada urutan Paling bawah ( no 15 ).

2. Ingat!!! Jangan Merubah Urutan daftar link

Apabila setiap blogger yang ikut dalam metode ini berhasil di duplikasi ole blogger lain yang akan bergabung, andaikan 5 blogger yang bergabung maka Backlink yang anda dapat adalah

Ketika posisi anda 15, jumlah backlink = 1
Posisi 14, jml backlink = 5
Posisi 13, jml backlink = 25
Posisi 12, jml backlink = 125
Posisi 11, jml backlink = 625
Posisi 10, jml backlink = 3.125
Posisi 9, jml backlink = 15.625
Posisi 8, jml backlink = 78.125
Posisi 7, jml backlink = 390.625
Posisi 6, jml backlink = 1.953.125
Posisi 5, jml backlink = 9.765.625
Posisi 4, jml backlink = 48.828.125
Posisi 3, jml backlink = 244.140.625
Posisi 2, jml backlink = 1.220.703.125
Posisi 1, jml backlink = 6.103.515.625

Dan semua Dari kata kunci yang anda inginkan, bayangkan jika ini bisa berjalan dengan sempurna maka anda akan memperoleh 6.103.515.625 external link yang berasal dari berbagai blog yang anda tidak akan pernah bayangkan sebelumnya. Belum lagi apabila ada pengunjung blog anda dari Link List tersebut diatas maka otomatis anda akan memperoleh traffic ke web/blog anda juga.

Ingat!!! Aturuan mainnya, Anda harus memulai dari urutan paling bawah (no 15) sehingga hasil backlink anda bisa Maksimal. Jangan salahkan saya apabila anda tidak mengikuti metode ini dengan benar dan Link anda tiba-tiba berada pada urutan no 1 dan menghilang pada Link daftar. Jadi mulai lah pada urutan paling bawah(no 15).

Bisakah Anda melakukan tindakan tidak fair atau tidak jujur dengan menyabotase metode ini, misalkan saja “menghilangkan semua link asal” lalu di isi dengan link web/blog anda sendiri…? ….Bisa, dan metode ini menjadi tidak maksimal. Kejujuran adalah strategi/politik terbaik…..Tapi saya yakin bahwa kita semua tak ingin menjatuhkan kredibilitas diri sendiri dengan melakukan tindakan murahan seperti itu… Read More....

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

How to Make Money in Stocks Part 6

WHEN TO SELL
Take Your Profit


Is the best to learn to sell on the way up while your stock still advancing and looks strong to everyone else. By do that, you will avoid getting caught in 20% to 40% corrections which occur periodically. You never sell at the exact top, so stop says “Oh after I sold it moved higher!!”. The purpose you play stocks to get GAIN not GREEDYY. The old man saying is, “ Bulls make money and Bears make money, BUT PIGS DON’T.


Rothschild’s Stock Rule, never buy at the Bottom and always sell too soon.


Joe Kennedy Stock rule, The object is to get out while stock is up, before it has chance to break down. Once the price has risen into estimated normal or overvaluation areas, the amount held should be reduced steadily as quotations advance.


Jack Dreyfus Stock Rule. He only bought when the price broke into new high ground. He was also beating the pants off every one of his competitors that depended solely on fundamental analytical opinions and ignored the market behavior of stocks.


Jesse Livermore, His method is AVERAGING UP, or PYRAMIDING, when stock moved up after purchase.


Profit Loss Plan. Not pyramid more than 5% than buy point, and sell when it reach 20% from break out point. Take 20% profits when you have them (except with the most powerful of all stocks) and cut losses at 8%.

Read More....

Monday, February 9, 2009

How to Make Money in Stocks Part 5

WHEN TO SELL
If Your Selection Timing Might Be Wrong


In the stock market, you absolutely can’t win either unless you have a strong predetermined defense to protect yourself against large losses. This


May surprise you, but if you invest in stocks, you are going to make a never ending number of mistakes in your selection and timing of purchases. These poor decisions will lead to losses, some of which can become quite awful. No matter how smart you may think you are or how good you believe your information or analysis is, you simply are not going to be right all of the time. In fact, you will probably be right only half the time, or maybe WORST, but you can still WIN!


THE SECRET TO WINNING in stock market is to lose the least amount possible when you are not right. I other words you must set CUT LOSS position!! I suggest you consider writing down the price at which you expect to sell if you have a loss, as well as the expected profit potential of all the securities you purchase. By writing it down, you will focus your attention later on the fact that the stock has reached one of these levels. Like I shows my CUT LOSS points in this BLOG. I usually used 5% below my purchase points!! BUT THE LIMIT IS 8%!!!


VERY - VERY RISKY THINKSSS, “I’m Along Term Investor, I am not worried, I am still getting MY DEVIDENS”. It is naive because good stocks can go down as much as might not be good stocks in the first place. NONONO AVERAGE DOWN.


In short, if you want to make money in the stock market, you need a specific defensive plan for cutting your losses quickly and you need to develop the decisiveness and discipline to make these tough, hard-headed business decisions without wavering.


Remember, there are no good stocks—they are all bad...unless they go up.

Read More....

Sunday, February 8, 2009

SORRY FOR ERROR IN MY BLOG

NOW!!!
YOU CAN INPUT COMMENT AT BLOG POST!!!
SORRY!!1 Read More....

HOLD n WAIT FOR BAILOUT PLAN!!

Dow Jones Industrial ChartClick Picture to Enlarge!!

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS!!


US - Wall Street financial gain strong gain after the analyst reports that the concerns of the Bank of America does not make sense, because The CASH flow IS Positive and threatened not to go bankrupt.


Overall, the stock market GAIN triggered by hope that the economic stimulus of $ 937 billion is now being discussed by the Senate and the program 'bad bank' plan which will be disclosed MINISTER OF FINANCE Timothy Geithner on the upcoming Monday. BULL market rally this time occurred in the midst of indications that the U.S. economy was very weak: NFP shows that there are 598,000 people who lost their jobs, the highest since 1974 and the unemployment rate jumped to 7.6% from the level of 7.2% in December.


Outlook BAD corporation can also be seen from the Hartford Financial record loss, Toyota estimates that annual losses, and GE lost a AAA rating. However, positive sentiment STIMULUS plan and The BAD BANK stock to be driving the positive territory.


Late in the day, federal regulators announced the closure of First Bank Financial Services in Georgia, the seventh failure this year of a federally insured bank.


At its core, the legislation is designed to ease the worst economic recession in generations and combines hundreds of billions of dollars in new spending with tax cuts.


Because of that, Democratic senators and a handful of moderate Republicans reached a compromise late Friday on a scaled-back $780-billion economic stimulus plan.


Dow still in good position until VOTE for BAILOUT is OVER, wait till next week!!


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


1.WATCH it will cross MA30!!

2.CANDLESTICK already crossed middle line of Bollinger Band!!

3.CCI (Commodity Channel Index) will reach -100!!

4.RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 50%!!

5.Volume getting HIGHER

It will BULL!!!


Still Hold Your Stock till next week!! Set cut loss 5% below your buy point! If you unsure about it, sell a half of your stock tomorrow!! Watch Profit take tomorrow on IHSG (Indonesia Stock Exchange)

Read More....

Friday, February 6, 2009

GAMBLING!! BAILOUT YES OR NO????

ANTM stock chart

Click Picture To Enlarge


My money Rp 11.586.615

I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares
Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk)10 Lots at price 1090

BUY ANTM (Antm Tbk) STOCK
10 Lots at price 1090=10 x 500 x 1090 = 5.450.000

MY STOCK NOW
ANTM 10 lots at price 5.450.000

MY MONEY NOW RP 6.136.615


Why I BUY ANTM

1.US BAILOUT WILL TRY AGAIN TO REACH AGREEMENT WITH SENATE THIS DAY!!

2.The IHSG(Indonesia Composite Index) Volume already crowded for two days!!

3.CCI (Commodity Channel Index) line moved so fast within 2 days, I will reach +100.

4.Look The BOX , if tonight BAILOUT HAS AN AGREEMENT!! SURE ON MONDAY WILL BE BULL!!! Candlestick will moved outside the BOX!!

5.Next target 1200-1250!!!


WATCHOUT YEAH!!

1.SORRY I know this is GAMBLING!! IF TODAY DOWJONES INDUSTRIAL not going up, I LOSE!!! But I believe BAILOUT will out!!!

2.RSI (Relative Strength Index) still line below 50%

3. SET CUT LOSS!!

.

Read More....

Wednesday, February 4, 2009

World News, Analysis and Bad Volume

IHSG COMPOSITE STOCKClick Picture to Enlarge!!!

FUNDAMENTAL ANALIYSIS!!!

China - Increase of Hong Kong stock index (Hang Seng) is still due to report of the Chinese government that will provide the economic stimulus package for the Industrial sector. One industry sector that will get BIG HELP is the metal industry. Based on the statement issued by the government, the plan will be issued a fund of 585 billion dollars to the industrial sector. According to the Chinese government, this step taken to speed up the recovery process in The China real sector.


Japan – Increase of Japan Stock Exchange today because of The Exporters Company stocks Increase due to yen weakening against the dollar.


US – There is a sign of recovery in the property sector, where pending home sales jumped 6.3% in December, which is the first time since August.


WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Executives of companies receiving federal bailout money will have their pay capped at $500,000 under a financial compensation plan that President Barack Obama is expected to announce Wednesday, two senior administration officials said.

Under the president's plan, companies that want to pay their executives more than $500,000 will have to do so through stocks that cannot be sold until the companies pay back the money they borrow from the government, according to administration officials.

U.S. Companies Cut 522,000 Jobs in January, Fewer Than Estimated!!


TECHNICAL ANALYSIS!!!

1.MA30 and MA40 already crossed by candlestick from top to bottom.

2.Now its reaching MA60, if moved below it IT BEAR TIME.

3.RSI(Relative Strength Index) line moves below 50%!!

4.CCI(Commodity Channel Index) still in -100 line!!!

5.THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IS THE VOLUME IS HALF THAN THE AVERAGE.


MY SUGGESTION DO NOT BUY ANYTHING UNTIL THE BIG VOLUME IS BACK!!!

Read More....

Monday, February 2, 2009

The NEW LQ45 Stocks

Indonesia- MOST Bakrie Group Company moved out from LQ-45 Index. LQ-45 index consist of TOP 45 Companies that have good liquidity. Nine companies came out from LQ-45.


SIX companies are owned by the Bakrie group BUMI, PT Bakrie Telecom Tbk (BTEL), PT Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY), PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk (ENRG) and PT Darma Henwa Tbk (DEWA). ARE OUT FROM THE TOP 45!!

Meanwhile, four more shares out from LQ-45 are PT Central Proteinaprima Tbk (CPRO), PT Kawasan Industri Jababeka Tbk (KIJA), PT Media Nusantara Citra Tbk (MNCN) dan PT Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering Tbk (TRUB).

Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) announced the list of 45 LQ share for the period February 2 to 31 July 2009. BEI conduct a review of the list of 45 stocks LQ once every six months.

Next list shares LQ-45, period February-July 2009:

  1. Adaro Energy (ADRO)-- New
  2. AKR Corporindo (AKRA)
  3. Aneka Tambang (ANTM)
  4. Astra Agro Lestari (AALI)
  5. Astra International (ASII)
  6. Bakrie Sumatra Plantations (UNSP)
  7. Bank Central Asia (BBCA)
  8. Bank CIMB Niaga (BNGA)
  9. Bank Danamon Indonesia (BDMN)
  10. Bank International Indonesia (BNII)
  11. Bank Mandiri (BMRI)
  12. Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI)
  13. Bank Pan Indonesia (PNBN)
  14. Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)
  15. Barito Pacific (BRPT) -- New
  16. Bayan Resources (BYAN) -- New
  17. Berlian Laju Tanker (BLTA)
  18. Bisi International (BISI)
  19. Charoen Pokphand Indonesia (CPIN)
  20. Ciputra Development (CTRA)
  21. Elnusa (ELSA) -- New
  22. Holcim Indonesia (SMCB)
  23. Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP)
  24. Indika Energy (INDY) -- New
  25. Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG)
  26. Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP) -- New
  27. Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF)
  28. Indosat (ISAT)
  29. International Nickel Indonesia (INCO)
  30. Jasa Marga (JSMR) -- New
  31. Kalbe Farma (KLBF) -- New
  32. Lippo Karawaci (LPKR)
  33. Medco Energi International (MEDC)
  34. Mitra Rajasa (MIRA)
  35. Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS)
  36. PP London Sumatera (LSIP)
  37. Sampoerna Agro (SGRO)
  38. Semen Gresik (SMGR)
  39. Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA)
  40. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM)
  41. Timah (TINS)
  42. Tunas New Lampung (TBLA)
  43. Unilever Indonesia (UNVR) -- New
  44. United Tractors (UNTR)
  45. Wijaya Karya (WIKA) -- New
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Sunday, February 1, 2009

SUCCESS INVEST WITH BUFFET (Part 3 of 6 parts)

Made By Waren Buffet


9. APPLY NOT ACTIVE THEN VERY ACTIVE


Many of the financial institutions and mutual funds that act without control, to change their portfolio every day. If the Senior Investment Manager understand a variety of fundamental and technical analysis can participate contagious virus trading stocks, how about us?
Buffett said, "Not Active behavior that is intelligent." Because, according to him, investors can make money sincere, even though he was sleeping.


This has been proven with hold Coca Cola shares since 1994, American Express since 1998, and Washington Post since 1973, WITHOUT TRADE IT MORE. THAT’S Really a pattern that NOT favored BY TRADER.


He had a pad that trading can often be too difficult to control EMOTION, as well as the incidence of trading costs that we do not know, such as fees to buy, sell fees, taxes, etc. .. etc., which reduces our profits.


10. DO NOT SEE EVERY MINUTES


Normal People always do "breakfast" with monitors the latest stock price regional exchanges, an hour before the exchange began. When the trading day begins, each 5 - 10 minutes, surely the eyes to see the computer to monitor price movements their shares.
Whether this is also done by Waren? The answer is NO. So how to monitor his share price? He never do so. Computer more used to playing Bridge than to monitor the price of the shares.


According to him, we do not need to know stock prices for the short term if we have chosen the right company. If we have a share in a great business, the short term not too important. What if the shares price never watched, suddenly crashed caused by the storm exchange recession? Easy. That is a good time to buy again, because it costs so much cheaper.


According to him, from the time you spent the movement of stock prices that make your heart works to hard ”DAG DUG DAG DUG”, better you focus on the performance of the company business, which includes management, cash flow, income etc..
Waren Buffett did not know the selling price of his shares now or the selling price tomorrow. He was only concerned about the selling price of a decade, that the future will reflect the value of pure business.

11. LOOKS THE DOWN PRICE AS OPPORTUNITY


This is the time Buffett see opportunity to buy shares-stock company with a good price. Remember, even though the stock is fundamentally good, but the bullish or bearish energy is contagious, so without understanding the situation indeed, each and every race and panic selling shares.


Shares Wahington Post, Geico and Wells Fargo Bank is an example of how the old strike Buffet opportunity. In the year 1973, Washington Post shares down to $ 6 per sheet, Buffet use the opportunity to sink money worth $ 10.6 million. Now, more than 30 years later, the price has become a $ 900 per sheet, if there is any stock split, the number of Buffett shares surely doubled.
Remember Buffett said, "be afraid when other people greedy, and be greedy when other people afraid.".

12. DO NOT HIT EVERY BALL THAT CAME


According to their claim that they were experts in the stock market, to become a successful investor, it means a lot in the decision to invest. Buffett does not agree with this opinion. He said, though only once in a year, making good investment decision that's enough.
He analogized like play baseball, where three times the opportunity to hit the ball, hit the BALL with every strength, if the momentum and the directions exactly right, the term referred to in the sweet spot.


Buffett just looked every ball throws , but only hit the ball which moved into the sweet spot.
Sweet spot here is a great business with a future that is also great, which is run by competent management, and sold at a good price. And to get this sweet spot, although the buffet will be waiting for many years before making the investment. When there are stocks enter good criteria, he will swing his club, and he will do so with a vengeance, he invest a lot of money here, and the results .... Grand Slam!

Continue to the 4th edition ... ....

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