BULL FAKE

Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) to close the trade with an increase of 22 points along with the action of foreign buying of Rp 519.291 billion.

IHSG opened at 2558.606 and immediately levels up to the level of 2581.600. Action on the massive buying stocks made big capitalism IHSG stay in positive territory.

Positive sentiment regional bourses after a sharp increase Asian stock Wallstreet provide fresh air for the IHSG movement today, although IHSG could not pursue a regional index increase. However, IHSG had earlier risen sharply in trading yesterday, when the stock of Hong Kong and Singapore are still off.

As usual, the shares of mining and plantation sectors to support the increase IHSG today. Mining sector stock index rose 30.791 points (1.39%) to the level of 2238.871, while the plantation sector stock index rose 27.159 points (1.48%) to the level of 1859.515.

Activity of foreign investors is very busy with the purchase transaction value of Rp 1.139 trillion, while foreign selling amounted to Rp 620.446 billion. Net purchase value of foreign transactions (foreign net buy) today reached USD 519.291 billion.

In trading Wednesday (17/2/2010), IHSG closed down 22.835 points gained (0.89%) to the level of 2581.340. LQ 45 index also gained 5.565 points (1.11%) to as low as 503.981.

While the rupiah exchange rate to a level close higher 9280 per dollar, compared to yesterday's closing level of 9320 per U.S. dollar.

The shares rose the most active among others, the price of Astra International (ASII) up to Rp 550 to Rp 36,250, Indo Tambang (ITMG) rose Rp 450 to Rp 31,450, Astra Agro (AALI) rose Rp 450 to Rp 24,350, Indika (INDY) rose USD 125 to USD 2400, Bumi Resources (BUMI) rose USD 100 to USD 2425, Sampoerna Agro (SGRO) rose USD 100 to USD 2825, Bukit Asam (PTBA) rose Rp 100 to Rp 16,300.

MY prediction

Oil still in 77$/barrel, choose mining sector.

Becarefull if IHSG can not move to 2558 it can bee bull FAKE. Sell if you already WIN. play fast first coz its still sideways.

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SUMMARY of Stock Exchange and WORLD Economy Prediction 2009

2009 World Economy Prediction that I made at 1 January 2009 here:

1. Great Depression, worst since 1930. Many bank and BIG company got bankrupt like General motor, Ford, Citi Bank, AXA, etc. Happened large scale fraud by the financial institutions like Maddof company. Truly Happened.

2. Oil price sideways 35$ - 44$ to 60$ - 75$. Now oil price in 79$. Still Stable. Truly Happened.

3. Gold price goes up slowly into 1000$, begin in about 600$ now 1079$. It has been increased about 80%. SURELY AND SLOWLY!!! Truly Happened.

4. US, Europe, and Japan show an economic slowdown in 2009. Truly Happened. Economy get better in the middle of year 2009. Check picture below Japan stock exchange (Nikkei 255) :

5. 2009 will be one of the worst economic periods in U.S. history. Truly Happened. That only happened in two early period than its move slowly up. Check Picture below :

6. Economy 2009 for Developing Countries in the area to be 4-5 percent growth. Indonesia economy grow about 4.3 percent this year! Truly Happened.

7. More Trouble Finding or Keeping A Job in 2009. Many person till this time will be unemployment. Truly Happened.

MY Advice at first 2009 here, said that chose Mining sector as PTBA (Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk), ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk), TINS (Timah Tbk). Or Crude Palm Oil sector Like AALI (Astra Agro Lestari Tbk) and SGRO (Sampoerna Agro Tbk).

TINS : Price 1260 (January 2009) è Price 2000 (December 2009).

ANTM : Price 1230 (January 2009) è Price 2200 (December 2009).

PTBA : Price 7850 (January 2009) è Price 17250 (December 2009).

AALI : Price 11750 (January 2009) è Price 22750 (December 2009).

SGRO : Price 1310 (January 2009) è Price 2700 (December 2009).

They all increase more than 75% since January price. Truly Happened.

MY OWN PORTFOLIO First 2009 and Last 2009 :

In January 2009 My money Rp 10.754.940 and NOW RP 21.544.035. It was increase about 100%. I used safe middle term investing.

ALL means during the year 2009 my way to work right enough^^. HOPE IN 2010 I CAN HELP YOU AGAIN!!!! Nice and safe trading

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Suggested stock 23 november untill 26 november

!!!For Indonesia stock exchange ONLYY!!!

What is good stock to buy in the SIDEWAYS TREND??

ANTM. SIDEWAYS

-Fast Day Trade, Buy 2350 Sell 2400/2425

-Long trade, first buy 2350, second buy 2425. Sell 2700.

TINS. SIDEWAYS

- Fast trade. Buy 1960. Sell 2000

-Long Trade. First buy 2020, second 2050.

SGRO. SIDEWAYS ON THE TOP

-Fast trade. Buy 2350. Sell 2425

-there is no long trade because stock is on the TOP.

BUMI. BULL

-Buy it when reach MA30, 2600-2650 point. Sell 3000 next 3300. Cut loss at 2500.

UNSP. BULL

-If back into MA30, BUY it (770 point). Sell 880.

INCO not recommended to buy

-already in DOWN TREND you must sell, and change into the other good stock.

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Dow bull but IHSG still side

Check here http://ssstock.blogspot.com/2009/11/play-save-my-friend.html

I told you before that Dow will from small Bear, it already happened. How I predict it?? It is very simple. -Look A line, when candlestick reach that line, always back down. A line it’s a good and strong resistance.

-Look B circle MACD (Technical line), distance between red line and blue line already wide, need to get closer again.

Now candlestick moved down into moving average 30 days. BUY when reach MA30, and set sell stop 5% below it.

Technical condition show BULLISH, why:

-Relative strength index still above 50% line

-Momentum 200 days also above momentum MA 200days.

-All moving average move up UP UP.

DOW JONES STILL MOVES UP!!!

How about IHSG (Indonesia Stock Exchange):

-Relative Strength index POOR

-MACD POOR

-All Moving Average 30, 40, 60 days, even Bollinger band show SIDEWAYS position.

-Only momentum 200days indicate bull trend.

Conclusion, IHSG still slow BULL in annual period because momentum 200days show that. But in monthly period still SIDEWAYS.

My suggestion buy but not will all your money, buy 50% and spend 50% again when IHSG move above 2530 point (BIG RESISTANCE).

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Play SAVE MY FRIEND

Dow Jones Industrial has good technical trend. Candlestick always moves above moving average (Green line) 300 days. Relative strength signal show BULL trend. But MACD hit the TOP, because the distance between the blue lines (Above) and red line (Under) are far and time to getting closer again, than DOW will form small Bear. Do not worry OVERALL STIL BULL.

How about Indonesia Stock Exchange. Still in BEAR.

- Candlestick below Moving Average 30 days.

-Relative Strength Index move below 50%.

-All Moving Average 30, 40, 60 show sloping mode.

-Bollinger Band sloping too.

All technical show that there will be a new movement for JCI, can be BULL or BEAR. But in my opinion if Dow trend is bull, so IHSG must follow it.

You can buy any stocks when that stocks candlestick reach middle Bollinger band (First buy) and Moving Average 30 (Second Buy). Like:

-ANTM 1^st 2370, 2^nd 2452. Resistance 2200. Target 2700. Fast trade 2230(Buy)-2300(Sell).

-BUMI 1^st 2505, 2^nd 2650. Resistance 2150. Target 3200. Fast trade 2300(Buy)-2400(Sell).

-SGRO buy when candlestick hit 2300. Target 2500. Resistance 2232. Fast trade 2350(Buy)-2450(Sell).

-INDF you can buy now 3100. Target 3250. Resistance 2950. NO Fast trade.

SAVE AND HAPPY TRADING ^^.

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November Prediction

Dow Jones Industrial position in sideways trend. If It can penetrate 10000, trend become BULL. If that’s not happen DOW still in FLAT POSITION.

My Opinion you can start buy again when DOW candlestick reach 10000 point. It still IN BULL position but very slow.

1. MACD when blue line cross UP red line that’s the time to BUY.
2. Relative Strength Index is in good position (Above 50%)
3. Momentum 200 days (BLUE LINE) still moving up!

Indonesia Stock Exchange

As is said before IHSG still in MINI BEAR. Candlestick try to move above MA30 line (RED LINE) , if that’s happen IHSG try to be BEAR. Relative Strength Index still in BEAR position.

My Suggestion, buy when it reach 2452 point.

PLAY SAVE AND HAPPY TRADING

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SIDEWAYS AGAIN, day trade okey

IHSG conditions in The BEAR TREND. Candlestick hit 2279 three times, and go back up. But it is still DANGEROUS. You can buy again when its reach above 2401 with strong volume.

Technical condition is BEAR, because :

1.Candlestick down below moving average 30 days.

2.Relative Strength Index moved below 50%.

But now if you want you can do day trading.

INDF 2950-3050

BUMI 2300-2400

SGRO 2170-2230

ANTM 2200-2260

My opinion IHSG still in Sideways side with range between 2280-2450.

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