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Showing posts with label Fundamental Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fundamental Analysis. Show all posts

Sunday, April 25, 2010

IHSG fair Level in 2400

Composite Stock Price Indonesian Index (IHSG) has scored remarkable achievements since the fall of world stock markets in 2008 and since at least the last four months.

An optimistic attitude accompanied by a fairly fundamental economic projections, especially when compared with the projected economic growth of neighboring countries and developed countries, has made investors-domestic and global investors to make the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) as one where the investment priorities in 2010.

For the record, the fundamental aspects of domestic and global economies, typically a leading indicator in measuring stock market prospects. If world economic projections would be revised downward, consequently estimated stock prices were going through the same thing.

If I compare with the other Composite stock index like Dow Jones, Hangseng, Nikkei, S&P, European stock index a fair level for 2200 IHSG ranged up to 2400. That means the level of IHSG now 400-500 points higher than fair market value

Above reasons, doubted if IHSG could penetrate and survive in the 3000 level in 2010. Therefore, there are no positive global economic sentiment to create level IHSG stag in 3000.

Careful do not buy now!!!
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Monday, March 15, 2010

BASIC FUNDAMENTAL AND VARIOUS TYPE OF BUSINESS EXCHANGE

In fundamental analysis, the basis for the estimated price (intrinsic value) is of fundamental factors such as financial statements, other important information from time to time to be declared a public company and macro economic developments, like any news in other fields such as politics, social , weather, etc.. Deemed necessary, all of them for at least the last two years. Of course the work involved is colossal, if you want to be reviewed in depth and exhaustive.


It is impossible for anyone to absorb all the information offered in total. Need to put the border in order of priority and the limited time and resources of each. Restrictions established by the analyst according to individual needs are different. In addition, access to the information available is not the same for all parties who were involved, in terms of time and number. Differences in the analyst space restrictions will affect the price formation process, so that will arise differing perceptions about the price level that is considered normal.


If the part is also the motivation reviewed various parties to jump into the stock market, the price movement will be influenced also by considerations that are not fundamental or rational. Parties that are considered fundamental approach is the long-term investors who occasionally need to implement portfolio adjustments, but always try to select stocks with the best performance. Group that is not always so, but still quite rational is the driver of the market (market maker) because its obligation to create demand in a particular stock. In the group "market maker" including "specialists" which are prohibited by exchange rules to create a request that is misleading, because the stock did not really tackle the fundamental requirements at all. The "specialist" assigned to keep trade alive and liquid for a particular stock based compensation of special treatment (privileges) from the stock exchange in the United States.


Motivational differences between the investor and the market movers can cause the best stocks are not getting the highest price. It could happen that the stock is not so good fundamentals, market actors pursued because of higher demand.


Executors stock with a low percentage of stock that have been developed, but it is higher in markets that have not been well developed, are the speculators who are not rational. The speculators made up of two groups that consumed the issues that make a profit on the exchange is easier and faster than jump into the normal business.


One group did have more money, so overall will not lose all the pain. Losses will make them a bitter lesson that hopefully can be a driving force for fatigue-tired going in to make an analysis before engaging in the stock, rather than relying on rumors or instinct alone.


The other group is those who actually do not have much money, but that is just not needed immediately. Because have no understanding of fund management, there are no reserves to deal with losses that come along with or faster than the need to use. The experience will make their way into the stock deterrent anymore.


From fundamental background material and stock market actors can draw the conclusion that the effort to set prices in advance, may not work well. Price been calculated to be not be expected to appear in the market. What can be expected is a guide to action buy and sell based on comparisons between the analysis and the reality faced by principal’s exchanges. Sell shares called "overvalued" (price is above that value has been calculated / estimated), instead buy shares of the "undervalued" (the price is below the value that has been calculated / estimated). A rational attitude so it will generate profits if the time period used is long enough. But whether a strategy of "buy-and-hold" for the stock "undervalued" can produce the maximum profit?


If you used fundamental analysis for speculated, check http://www.wikinvest.com/. It will give you much information about company, commodities, fund, global market, etc. They update daily and have very accurate information like chart, business overview, annual report, segments, material product, etc. It will show you complete overview one by one company, like:


1.Leggett_&_Platt_(LEG) Other Income Expense.

2.Freescale_Semiconductor,_Inc._(FSL) Other Income Expense.

3. FedEx_(FDX) Other Income Expense.

4.Microsoft (MSFT) Other Income Expense.

5.Mastercard (MA) Other Income Expense.

6. AND Many more


If you are a fundamental trader and need HOT NEWS about company and commodities check on wikinvest.com. It will help your stock trade. Thank you very much.

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