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Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Weak Break out for TINS

timah tbk chart

My money RP 6.272.765

I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares
Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk) 5 lots at price 1070

TINS (Timah Tbk) 5 lots at price 1080

SELL TINS (Timah Tbk) STOCK
5 Lots at price 1060=5 x 500 x 1060 = 2.650.000-(0.007*2.650.000)= 2.631.450

MY STOCK NOW
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk) 5 lots at price 1070

MY MONEY NOW RP 8.904.215

Why I SELL TINS (Timah Tbk) WEAK BREAK OUT

1.Candlestick Back to its MA30.

2.RSI (Relative Strength Index) can not move above 50% line!!

3.Volume twice than volume average than after break up back again downside!!!

Read More....

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

TIME TO BUYYYY!!!1

My money RP 8.972.765

I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares
Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk) 5 lots at price 1070

BUY TINS (Timah Tbk) STOCK
5 Lots at price 1080=5 x 500 x 1080 = 2.700000

MY STOCK NOW
ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk) 5 lots at price 1070

TINS (Timah Tbk) 5 lots at price 1080


MY MONEY NOW RP 6.272.765

Click Picture To Zoom!!


timah tbk


Why I BUY TINS (Timah Tbk)

1.Candlestick break up Upper band of Bollinger Band.

2.CCI(Commodity Channel Index) line above -100.

3.RSI (Relative Strength Index) line at 50%, will be move up!!

4. ALL MINING STOCK ALREADY GOING UP!!!

5.Candlestick moved up Moving Average 30 and MA40!!!

6.Volume twice than volume average!!!

Suggestion : HOLD IT till back to MA30
Read More....

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Try new Analysis

ANTM Stock Chart
Click Picture to ZOOM!!

My money Rp 11.647.765

I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares
Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
NULL

BUY ANTM (Antm Tbk) STOCK
5 Lots at price 1070=5 x 500 x 1070 = 2.675.000

MY STOCK NOW
ANTM (Antm Tbk)

MY MONEY NOW RP 8.972.765

Why I BUY ANTM

OH MY GOD I TAKE WRONG TURN, I LOST FROM MY DICIPLINE!! BUT I TRIED A NEW ANALYSIS FOR BEARISH TRADING!!

1.Candlestick reach bottom line of Bollinger Band.

2.CCI(Commodity Channel Index) line below -100.

3.RSI (Relative Strength Index) line moved below 50%.

Suggestion : PLAY FAST AND SMALL GAIN!!!

Because its already DEAD CROSSS

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

The Warren Buffet Way {Part 5 of 6 Parts}

17. Stay in your Competency
When should choose to invest, what the business is?? Waren Buffett is guided by what he called "Circle Competence", where the circle of competence only consist of industry stock, where he feels comfortable to be involved.
Buffett does not invest in the stock high-technology shares. Why? because the stock-share interest is located outside his competence.
According to him, "Develop a regional expertise, do operation in the area, and do not blame yourself for losing the opportunity to appear outside the region." Since 1982, Buffet to include a list of "business interest", such as:
- Capitalization of the market
- Businesses that show a consistent ability to generate income in
- Business of the ROE is good, with the Debt Equity Ratio is low
- Business with strong management
- Business is simple, not hi tech
- Share price is good and interesting


18. Ignore stock market prediction
Buffett said that, the short forecast period on a stock price or bond is not useful. Prediction that it gives you more information about fortuneteller prediction, and not the information future.
Buffett prefers focus on business performance, and not disrupted by a larger trend that does not believe, he might be predicted accurately. According to him, the forecast is only a dim assessment. Why? Due in part to create the illusion prediction accuracy, because it seems to be based on the data.
Bufett advice here is:
- Eliminate any involvement in the prognosis of your investment decisions
- Divert the time you will used to listen prediction with analyzing the track record of business.
- Develop investment strategies that are not on the whole movement that have relation with market.
- The flare of a stock market, the more likely people take advantage of the forecast, but at that time have also forecast a small chance for the right.


19. UNDERSTANDING MR.MARKET & MARGIN OF SAFETY
Mr. Market is something that many in the role and dominate the world shares. He is a psychological problem that affects the price he set.

If he is happy, it only see things in a good course of business and set a high price on the value of, and he felt afraid that his stocks with your purchase price is too cheap. Here he hold share-holding to its price and hope the price continues to rise (if the price suddenly even his fall, he will get drunk ...).
Conversely, if he is sad, he did not see anything except the business in distress, in this time he set up the cheap price stock and hope you buy it.
Mr.Market That is, he will come every day exchanges. Therefore, according to Buffet Aka Mr.Market should know the situation at the time, and DO NOT ONCE TIME WORK UNDER INFLUENCE. Badly all people can be infectious and can be intoxicating over gladness. This is the cause panic selling and panic buying.
After Mr.Market understand, you must also enter a margin of safety in the framework of your thinking. Margin of Safety is the condition of stock prices that are substantially lower than the value of the business. When assessing margin of safety, use the concept of intrinsic value as a starting point. Namely the measurement of the values that are really valid, to determine the real value of a stock price.


20. WHILE OTHER PEOPLE AFRAID BE GREEDY, AND WHEN OTHER PEOPLE GREEDY BE SCARED
This is advice from Buffett's. He often utilize emotions that spread easily with this act contrary to the sentiment that is growing. With this strategy, he produces a lot of money when other people do not succeed. In early 1970, there was a decrease in the market that is famous. People crowded sell-his stock because of fear, Dow Jones index fall below 700, Buffett, of course, another act. He did a large-scale investment, with the share buy-it shares with the cheap price.
But we also know, how Buffet is a coward during the Internet stock prices soaring when people buy it with greed. But he does not lose money when a continental ultimately destroyed the internet stock prices, which caused many bankruptcy.

Continue to 6th edition ... ....


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Monday, March 2, 2009

The Waren Buffet WAY (Part 4 of 6 Parts)

13. FOCUSED on SMALL Things, not BIG Things

Buffet said that Big things outside business is not important, but small things that have chain reaction with business is the most important. To invest like Buffet, you have to ignore the events of the macro and focus on companies that its stocks you select. Events of macro like unemployment, economic growth, inflation, and political events appear very important for investors. You have to closed your ear from outsider, do not hear any rumors or about economic condition.

14. Watch carefully The Manegement

Who control The Company? Six factor to watch are:

1. Whether the management team is always working for the shareholders? Or enrich Their self with the cost of the company. For example, with the excess of salary, bonus or other luxurious facilities.
2. Whether management sparingly, or as extravagant excess burden?
3. Whether management is dedicated to increase shareholder value?
4. Are management stock purchase back (buy back) for the interests of shareholders, also avoid issuing new shares which will reduce the share of ownership of the shareholders
5. Does the company report does not contain fair and cheating? Or financial engineering.
6. Is management accounting system using a seemingly honest and not hide the correct information?

Investors need to suspect that the company projected SWEET long-term, sweet-like, projection of growth or profit projections.

15. THE KING NEVER WEARS SUIT IN STOCK MARKET

Do not hear any analysis from internet or website. Not technical analysis or Fundamental analysis. Do not used Robot trading or something else. The King never wears suit in stock market like volume, graph, technical analysis or fundamental analysis. JUST FOCUSED ON THE VALUE OF BUSINESS!!!

16. Think THE INDEPENDENT
Independent thinking is one of the biggest strengths that Buffett had. He said that "You are not right or wrong because people agree or not with you. You are right because the facts and reasons that you have is correct. "

This examplizeing in a few years ago, Internet stocks and high tech fly like meteoric, it defeated The fortune 500 who have long standing in stock market. Everyone buy that stocks but Buffet do not buy that. Investors that buy Hi-Tech and Internet stocks enjoy outstanding profit, and they said that Buffet is STUPID, because He did not buy any sheet like that kinds of company. He did not understand the way the Internet company's business. Therefore He stay away from it.


This was in the end when the Nasdaq index to fall 75% due to fell like high-tech stocks, and hundreds of billion Dollar was evaporate. Lessons that can be drawn here is Buffett on facts and reason in making DECISION investment. So do not make DECISION as it is popular or because of fear of the opposite flow.

Continue to 5th edition ... ....


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