My stock condition

My money Rp 5.054.940
I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares

Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
ANTM 5 lots at buy price 1140

Please READ my Analysis!!
Sell ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk)
5 lots at price 1300 = 5 x 500 x 1300 = 3.250.000– (0.007*3.250.000)= 3.227.250

My Stocks Now
ANTM, 5 lots buy at price 1140

My Money NOW Rp 8.282.190

050108, stocks that i told you to buy BEFORE like ANTM, PTBA, TINS, AALI, and SGRO, this day moved ups about 10% or more at noon, All stock already reach Level which I told you before here. And all of them reach CCI200, so I sold half of my ANTM stocks.

ANTM 1300
PTBA 8800
TINS 1400
AALI 14000
SGRO 1400

I will sell half ANTM stocks when reach back to middle BOOLINGER band line, or MA30!! Because it's still BULL condition!!

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Indonesan Stock News

Illegal used of funds by PT Sarijaya Permana Sekuritas to the 8.700 account of customers, which account for 6500 is from retail customers with value of 245 billion Rupiah. This thing told by was Director of Fixed Income Trading, and Derivatif Membership Indonesia Stock Exchange, Guntur Pasaribu in a press conference in BEI Building, Jakarta, on Tuesday (6/1/2009).

Sarijaya Securities can not solve the problem with an error MKBD (Adjusted Net Working Capital), BEI (Bursa Efek Indonesia) decided to give Suspension activity for Sarijaya!! Sarijaya Sekuritas stopped activity because of the misuse of customer funds and reporting Adjusted Net Working Capital (MKBD) that is not true. Exchange members trade with the SP's last reported MKBD value of Rp 29,318 billion.

Board of Supervisors Capital Market and Financial Institutions (Bapepam LK) and the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) will call all members of exchange (broker) to perform routine inspections. After the 49 securities companies, the authority will also be called back in stages, and the brokers too.

Sarijaya Securities now search on strategic investors, according to Zulfiyan (Derector of Sarijaya Securities) likely be slightly adjusted price or cheaper price from the market. Sarijaya investors are seeking new owners to replace old Herman Ramli in two weeks. Herman Ramli has arrested Bareskrim-Mabes police since 24 December 2008 because of allegations of misappropriation of funds customers as big as Rp 245 billion.

PT Aneka Tambang (ANTM) confirming that the government will reduce the production of nickel company of 30% in this year. ANTM plans to produce between 11500-12000 tons of nickel in feronikel (TNI) in 2009. Due to a reduction in production this will be used to perform optimization FeNi III factory and factory modernization FeNi I, so that when market conditions improved nickel production level ANTM will be in a more optimal level. ANTM with BHP Billiton will build its own factory Feronikel IV (Feni) worth U.S. $ 300 million with a capacity of 300 thousand tons per year.

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China Stimulus Plans

China - Hang Seng closed UP before The China Economic Stimulus given Monday, January 5, 2009. Today trade Hong Kong stock closed up because a positive response regarding the perpetrators of the market economic stimulus policies that will be launched by the Chinese government began in January, this month. Based on the reports note that the Chinese government will contribute funds of 586 billion dollars. With the policy stimulus is expected to provide positive signal for economic recovery in China this year 2009.

On the other hand, the regulations implementing the new price for 3G customers user facilities also impact the mobile phone component manufacturer as Foxconn. This condition will increase the demand of consumers who want to use the facilities that 3G will ultimately increase the purchase of mobile phone with 3G.

Hang Seng Index closed 520.50 points or increased 3.5% to 15,563.31 basis points. Meanwhile, the strengthening of the index measure of 604 basis points to be 15,639 points, with the highest level had reached 15,670 points and the lowest level of 15,088 points.

Stock-shares in the strengthening of which is that China Mobile shares rose 4.7%, China Unicom shares rose 7.3%, Lenovo shares rose 5%, shares CNOOc menguat 7.9% and PetroChina shares rose as much as 6.9%. Because Oil price goes up!!

Tommorow, Hang Seng will be support by positive sentiment from the fundamental condition, which going up about 3-4%. But from technical analysis Hang Seng in resistan line 15600 points, if tomorrow can not crossed it going down again, Becarefull!!

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Best Prediction Buy

First look my prediction I made before this post, here please!!

My money Rp 10.754.940
I calculate the commission at the time of selling shares

Total commission for buy and sell stock is 0,7%

My Stocks
NULL

Please READ my Analysis!!
Buy ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk)
10 lots at price 1140 = 10 x 500 x 1140 = 5.700.000

My Stocks Now
ANTM, 10 lots buy at price 1140

Yesterday, stocks that i told you to buy Like ANTM, PTBA, TINS, AALI, and SGRO, this day moved ups about 10% or more, GOOD BUY IS IT!!
Now you must think when or at what price I must SELL this stock!!
ANTM 1300
PTBA 8800
TINS 1400
AALI 14000
SGRO 1400
Or you can sell while CCI (Commodity Channel Index) reach 200!!
Myself, I sell while ANTM reach back to middle BOOLINGER band line, or MA30!! Because it's
already BULL, or Israel stop war againts GAZA!!
If you are not sure just sell a half!! Another half just follow my way!! YOUR WILL BE HAPPY!!!

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First Stock to buy at 2009

Click Piture to Enlarge

What Good Stock To buy at 5 January 2009. Mining sector as PTBA (Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk), ANTM (Aneka Tambang Tbk), TINS (Timah Tbk). Or Crude Palm Oil sector Like AALI (Astra Agro Lestari Tbk) and SGRO (Sampoerna Agro Tbk).

Why not Bank sector, because Bank already moved up before mining sector. Now is time to mining sector to lead the BULL! Oil price will cross 50$, if Israel still attack Gaza. Because it threatened to disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East.

This is The Technical Analysis : example ANTM. All stock I said above have same condition as ANTM!!

1. After Break Out with High Volume, candlestick never back below MA30 and Middle line of Bollinger Band
2. GOLDEN CROSS already happened
3. It is Pullback (Candlestick Back to MA30 Lines), Time to BUY
4. RSI line moves above 50%
   
5. First Target is 1200!!
6. You can Buy tomorrow at 1100
7. Set Cut loss at 1000!!

Remember do not use ALL YOUR MONEY, OIL PRICE GOES UP BECAUSE OF WAR!! THX

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Small BULL

Click Picture to Enlarge!!

Dow Jones Industrial already moved above MA60, next target 9500

RSI (Relative Strength Index) is above 50%!

GOLDEN CROSS, if DOW industrial going up into 9250!

Three White Soldier to confirm small BULL!

Also BOOLINGER band get very tight, and candlestick crossed top line, FURTHER will be BULL!

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) moved above 100, If Monday touch 200, CONFIRM BULL!

FED's plan to cut interest rates into 0.1%

Oil through $ 45 (Resistant Line), next target to $ 50! Good for Mining Sector
You must remember Oil going UP into 46$ now, because of WAR. Retaliatory attacks by Israel against Hamas in the Gaza strip threatened to disrupt supplies from the Middle East.

It is Small BULL, remember to keep your half money!! Choose Mining Sector!!
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2009 World Economy Prediction

2009 World Economy Prediction :

1. Great Depression, worst since 1930. 55 percent of people said the financial crisis would affect them personally within 2009. 77 percent of them say their industry is in a state of crisis, and 50 percent say the economy is the worst it has been in their careers.


2. Oil price sideways 35$ - 44$ to 60$ - 75$. Oil price will go up until Israel stop war against GAZA. In February OPEC will cut oil productions again!!

3. Gold price goes up slowly into 1000$, good for Gold sector Company, but who buy gold in the middle of CRISIS!! It not going up fast but save!!

4. US, Europe, and Japan show an economic slowdown in 2009. Economy get better in the middle of year 2009.

5. 2009 will be one of the worst economic periods in U.S. history. If the street thinks the economy will improve in 2010, then 2009 should be an up year for equities.

6. Economy 2009 for Developing Countries in the area to be 4-5 percent growth, Because the increasingly strict credit and increase food and energy prices. Lenders or BANK will be very cautious about loaning money.

7. More Trouble Finding or Keeping A Job in 2009. The World unemployment rate is growing along with the national debt. As business continues to slow.

MY Advice, if you want to buy stock or shares choose Mining Sector especially Gold, Oil, and Coal sector. In Indonesia Stock Exchange (IHSG) Bank and Coal sector still the BEST for now, because Bank of Indonesia will cut interest rate into 7% during the year 2009. Keep a half of your money , market still in dangerous situation!!

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